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Human moon landing in 2026?

the community says
this happens

chance

📈 The story so far

this happensit doesn't

📜 How this resolves▾

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.

$2.0m predicted all-time · $0.00 today · ends Dec 31, 2026