politicslive

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

🏁 The race

December 3117%

Yes 17%No 83%

July 310%

Yes 0%No 100%

April 300%

✗ didn't

June 300%

✗ didn't

March 310%

✗ didn't

January 310%

✗ didn't

📈 The story so far — December 31

17%

this happensit doesn't

📜 How this resolves▾

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.

$1.1m predicted all-time · $784.84 today · ends Dec 31, 2026