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Iran Nuke before 2027?

the community says
this happens

chance

📈 The story so far

this happensit doesn't

📜 How this resolves▾

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.

$1.1m predicted all-time · $1.5k today · ends Dec 31, 2026