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MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner

🏁 The race

Candidate B50%

closed

Candidate C50%

closed

Other50%

closed

Candidate A50%

closed

Hartzell Gray42%

Jordan Herrera27%

Randy Miller11%

G Rick10%

Show all 11 runners▾

Jeanette Cass6%

Yes 6%No 94%

Ashleigh Rogers1%

Yes 1%No 99%

Wayne Russell1%

📈 The story so far — Hartzell Gray

42%

this happensit doesn't

📜 How this resolves▾

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.

$1.0k predicted all-time · $1.0k today · ends Aug 4, 2026