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Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

🏁 The race

June 30, 202747%

Yes 47%No 54%

December 31, 202645%

Yes 45%No 56%

September 30, 202625%

Yes 25%No 76%

📈 The story so far — June 30, 2027

47%

this happensit doesn't

📜 How this resolves▾

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.

Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.

$111.53 predicted all-time · $0.00 today · ends Dec 31, 2026