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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
🏁 The race
January 31, 20260%
✗ didn't
February 28, 20260%
✗ didn't
May 31, 20260%
✗ didn't
November 300%
✗ didn't
Show all 15 runners▾
March 31, 20260%
✗ didn't
October 310%
✗ didn't
June 30, 20260%
✗ didn't
📈 The story so far — December 31, 2026
93%
this happensit doesn't
📜 How this resolves▾
This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.
$7.5m predicted all-time · $7.9k today · ends Dec 31, 2025