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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

🏁 The race

June 30, 202756%

Yes 56%No 44%

December 3122%

Yes 22%No 79%

September 3013%

Yes 13%No 88%

July 152%

Yes 2%No 98%

February 280%

✗ didn't

March 310%

✗ didn't

📈 The story so far — June 30, 2027

56%

this happensit doesn't

📜 How this resolves▾

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.

$2.3m predicted all-time · $181k today · ends Dec 31, 2026