politicslive

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

96%

the community says
this happens

chance

Yes 96%No 4%

📈 The story so far

96%

this happensit doesn't

📜 How this resolves▾

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.

$230k predicted all-time · $217.35 today · ends Dec 31, 2026