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Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

🏁 The race

June 30, 202754%

Yes 54%No 46%

December 31, 202753%

Yes 53%No 48%

December 31, 202612%

Yes 12%No 88%

📈 The story so far — June 30, 2027

54%

this happensit doesn't

📜 How this resolves▾

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.

$851k predicted all-time · $435.28 today · ends Dec 31, 2027