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On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a âfinal dealâ to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to âYesâ if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a âfinal dealâ by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to âNo.â The âfinal U.S.-Iran dealâ refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.
$42.2k predicted all-time ¡ $758.78 today ¡ ends Dec 31, 2026