politicslive

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

🏁 The race

December 318%

Yes 8%No 93%

September 304%

Yes 4%No 96%

April 300%

✗ didn't

June 300%

✗ didn't

March 310%

✗ didn't

May 310%

✗ didn't

📈 The story so far — December 31

this happensit doesn't

📜 How this resolves▾

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.

$62.4m predicted all-time · $237k today · ends Dec 31, 2026