Politics

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?

• 180-199✓ No
• 200+✓ Yes
• 120-139✓ No

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (June 29 - July 4)

• July 4✓ No
• July 2✓ Yes
• June 29✓ Yes

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

• December 31Yes 20%
• June 22✓ No
• May 31✓ No

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

• Barbara Kirkmeyer✓ No
• Victor Marx✓ Yes
• Will McBride✓ No

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

• Spencer Pratt✓ No

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

🏁 Decided — Yes

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

• December 31Yes 11%
• May 31✓ No
• June 30✓ No

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

• December 31Yes 12%
• September 30Yes 7%
• August 31Yes 3%

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

• December 31, 2026Yes 9%
• June 30, 2026✓ No
• Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?✓ No

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

• January 9✓ No
• January 31✓ No

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner

• Mark Tedford✓ Yes
• Jackson Lahmeyer✓ No
• Candidate J✓ No

Zelenskyy # posts June 30 - July 7, 2026?

• 60-79✓ No
• 80-99✓ Yes
• 100-119✓ No

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

• Xavier Becerra✓ Yes
• Steve Hilton✓ No
• Derek Grasty✓ No

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

• June 30, 2026✓ No
• December 31, 2025✓ No

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

• July 31Yes 25%
• January 9✓ No
• January 31✓ No

California Governor Primary Election: Los Angeles County Winner

• Chad Bianco✓ No
• Katie Porter✓ No
• Matt Mahan✓ No

Zelenskyy # posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?

• 100-119✓ No
• 80-99✓ Yes
• 120-139✓ No

South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

• Wilson 15%+✓ Yes
• Evette 15%+✓ No
• Evette 10–15%✓ No

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

• December 31Yes 53%
• February 28✓ No
• March 31✓ No

Khamenei # posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?

• 10-14✓ Yes
• 15-19✓ No
• 20-24✓ No

India strike on Pakistan by...?

• December 31, 2026Yes 15%
• December 31✓ No
• November 30✓ No

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

• July 31Yes 2%
• June 15✓ No
• May 31✓ No

California Governor Primary Election: San Diego County Winner

• Antonio Villaraigosa✓ No
• Katie Porter✓ No
• Xavier Becerra✓ No

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

• December 31Yes 34%
• June 30✓ No
• March 31✓ No

Ted Cruz # posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?

• 160-179✓ No
• 180-199✓ No
• <20✓ No

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

• Becerra 10%+✓ No
• Becerra <5%✓ Yes
• Becerra 5–10%✓ No

NYC Mayor # posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?

• 40-59✓ Yes
• 60-79✓ No
• 80-99✓ No

CZ # posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?

• 20-39✓ Yes
• 160-179✓ No
• 40-59✓ No

California Governor Primary Election: San Francisco Winner

• Tom Steyer✓ Yes
• Xavier Becerra✓ No
• Antonio Villaraigosa✓ No

Algeria Parliamentary Election: Party Winner

• Party ZYes 50%
• Party PYes 50%
• Party FYes 50%

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

• May 31✓ No
• April 30✓ No
• June 30✓ No

White House # posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?

• 20-39✓ No
• 200+✓ Yes
• <20✓ No

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

🏁 Decided — No

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

• July 31Yes 2%
• April 30✓ No
• April 22✓ No

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

• December 31Yes 44%
• July 31Yes 3%
• June 30✓ No

California Governor Primary Election: Orange County Winner

• Katie Porter✓ No
• Steve Hilton✓ Yes
• Xavier Becerra✓ No

What will Trump say this week? (June 29 - July 5)

• Great Leader✓ No
• Protect America / Save America✓ Yes
• Outside✓ No

California Governor Primary Election: Santa Clara County Winner

• Matt Mahan✓ No
• Xavier Becerra✓ Yes
• Tom Steyer✓ No

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

• Before 2027Yes 7%
• July 31Yes 0%
• June 30✓ No

Russia nuclear test by...?

• December 31, 2026Yes 9%
• September 30, 2026Yes 4%
• March 31, 2026✓ No

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

• JD Vance✓ No
• Donald Trump✓ Yes
• Marco Rubio✓ Yes

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

• July 31Yes 5%
• May 15✓ No
• June 30✓ No

Colorado Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

• Weiser 10–15%Yes 99%
• Weiser 15%+Yes 1%
• Weiser 5–10%Yes 0%

NY-10 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

🏁 Decided — No

UK election called by...?

• June 30, 2027Yes 33%
• December 31, 2026Yes 16%
• June 30✓ No

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

• December 31, 2026Yes 15%
• March 31, 2026✓ No
• June 30, 2026✓ No

NY-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

• Espaillat <5%✓ No
• Espaillat 10%+✓ No
• Espaillat 5–10%✓ No

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

• December 31Yes 12%
• July 31Yes 2%
• June 30✓ No

Weed rescheduled by...?

• July 31Yes 0%
• June 30✓ No
• March 31✓ No