Paper
market
🧭
Markets
Sign in
Get $10k Paper
🔬 The Grand Catalog
Science
live
37
questions ahead ·
3
already decided
🗂️ All realms
₿ Crypto
🏟️ Sports
🌎 Politics
📈 Business
⛅ Weather
🗺️ World
🤖 Tech
🎭 Culture
🎬 Entertainment
🔬 Science
+1 more realms
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
2
Yes
64%
1
Yes
29%
3
Yes
3%
science
6 open ·
$6.1k today
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
August 31
Yes
96%
July 31
Yes
84%
Successful splash down?
Yes
79%
science
6 open ·
$6.0k today
Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?
2300
Yes
92%
2400
Yes
17%
2200
✓ Yes
science
$3.9k today
Other · 11
When
⏰ Today
📅 Upcoming
🏁 Finished
Sort
🔥 Hottest
⏳ Ending soon
🌱 Newest
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5-6
Yes
52%
<5
Yes
21%
7-8
Yes
7%
science
8 open ·
$1.5k today
Precipitation in Seoul in July?
100mm+
Yes
89%
90-100mm
Yes
28%
60-70mm
Yes
16%
science
8 open ·
$1.2k today
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
450-475mm
Yes
38%
525-550mm
Yes
33%
425-450mm
Yes
29%
science
10 open ·
$997.39 today
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?
≤8
Yes
82%
9
Yes
8%
10
Yes
7%
science
8 open ·
$801.81 today
Precipitation in London in July?
80mm+
Yes
35%
60-70mm
Yes
33%
50-60mm
Yes
30%
science
7 open ·
$676.30 today
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Hong Wang
Yes
86%
Jacob Tsimerman
Yes
86%
Yu Deng
Yes
69%
science
11 open ·
$547.01 today
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
December 31, 2027
Yes
84%
December 31, 2026
Yes
21%
science
$473.43 today
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31
Yes
25%
September 30
Yes
10%
June 30
✓ No
science
$423.16 today
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Yes
22%
No
79%
science
$416.73 today
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-159
Yes
49%
160-179
Yes
27%
180-199
Yes
5%
science
7 open ·
$284.29 today
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?
0
Yes
72%
1
Yes
21%
2
Yes
3%
science
7 open ·
$251.61 today
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
Yes
54%
3rd hottest
Yes
42%
2nd hottest
Yes
7%
science
4 open ·
$232.42 today
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
<100
Yes
40%
130–159
Yes
31%
100–129
Yes
30%
science
9 open ·
$112.00 today
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes
10%
No
90%
science
$84.22 today
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Yes
2%
No
98%
science
$58.21 today
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
4%
No
96%
science
$22.26 today
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 27, 2026?
83–86
Yes
49%
92–95
Yes
49%
86–89
Yes
48%
science
7 open ·
$18.02 today
Precipitation in Seattle in July?
<0.5"
Yes
46%
0.5-1"
Yes
45%
1-1.5"
Yes
45%
science
7 open ·
$16.15 today
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
Yes
50%
1.15–1.19ºC
Yes
35%
1.25–1.29ºC
Yes
34%
science
6 open ·
$11.64 today
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
December 31
Yes
67%
October 31
Yes
43%
August 30
Yes
40%
science
3 open ·
$10.00 today
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
Yes
5%
No
95%
science
$6.30 today
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Yes
12%
No
88%
science
$1.50 today
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
27%
No
74%
science
$0.00 today
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Yes
5%
No
95%
science
$0.00 today
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Yes
18%
No
83%
science
$0.00 today
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
3%
No
97%
science
$0.00 today
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
Yes
13%
No
87%
science
$0.00 today
Elon Bull Run Parlay
Yes
5%
No
95%
science
$0.00 today
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Yes
17%
No
83%
science
$0.00 today
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?
Yes
23%
No
77%
science
$0.00 today
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
Yes
78%
No
23%
science
$0.00 today
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31
Yes
53%
August 30
Yes
52%
June 30
✓ No
science
3 open ·
$0.00 today
FDA approves Celcuity's Gedatolisib?
Yes
68%
No
33%
science
$0.00 today
Precipitation in NYC in July?
5-6"
Yes
46%
2-3"
Yes
45%
4-5"
Yes
44%
science
6 open ·
$0.00 today