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Will Russia capture Pokrovka by...?

December 31Yes 41%
July 31Yes 11%
March 31✓ No

world2 open · $901.84 today

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

No changeYes 89%
25 bps increaseYes 10%
50+ bps increaseYes 2%

world5 open · $845.09 today

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Renan SantosYes 62%
Ronaldo CaiadoYes 16%
Flávio BolsonaroYes 7%

world17 open · $739.01 today

Other · 11

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Quebec General Election Winner

PQYes 70%
CAQYes 16%
PLQYes 16%

world6 open · $709.75 today

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva 5-10%Yes 31%
Lula da Silva <5%Yes 18%
Lula da Silva 10-15%Yes 17%

world11 open · $690.06 today

Bank of Israel Decision in September?

No ChangeYes 32%
DecreaseYes 20%
IncreaseYes 16%

world$585.33 today

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?

December 31Yes 17%
May 31✓ No

world$582.84 today

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes 27%No 73%

world$545.47 today

Will Russia capture Toretske by...?

September 30Yes 31%
July 31Yes 12%
February 28✓ No

world2 open · $542.09 today

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?

IncreaseYes 57%
No ChangeYes 43%
DecreaseYes 3%

world$349.22 today

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 31Yes 6%
April 30✓ No
March 31✓ No

world$347.99 today

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Yes 11%No 90%

world$343.43 today

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

August 31Yes 6%
July 31Yes 2%

world$306.11 today

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

Yes 5%No 96%

world$293.82 today

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?

Yes 3%No 98%

world$271.64 today

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?

September 30Yes 33%
April 30✓ No
May 31✓ No

world1 open · $239.98 today

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Yes 12%No 88%

world$232.51 today

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Yes 4%No 96%

world$210.09 today

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

December 31Yes 24%
July 31Yes 3%
March 31✓ No

world2 open · $205.95 today

Will Russia enter Svitle by...?

September 30Yes 40%
April 30✓ No
May 31✓ No

world1 open · $199.00 today

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Anthony AlbaneseYes 41%
Angus TaylorYes 20%
Pauline HansonYes 16%

world5 open · $137.44 today

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

8Yes 35%
9Yes 35%
10Yes 13%

world8 open · $131.72 today

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Yes 75%No 26%

world$116.05 today

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

December 31Yes 19%
March 31✓ No
October 31✓ No

world1 open · $107.00 today

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Yes 4%No 96%

world$99.15 today

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by July 31?

↑ 1.9MYes 38%
↓ 1.6MYes 13%
↓ 1.5MYes 8%

world4 open · $88.11 today

How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?

2–3Yes 51%
4–5Yes 29%
0–1Yes 5%

world6 open · $83.64 today

Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?

December 31Yes 26%
June 30✓ No

world$80.00 today

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31Yes 7%
June 30✓ No

world$63.73 today

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

December 31Yes 24%
June 30✓ No

world$62.38 today

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Yes 7%No 94%

world$62.32 today

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Yes 9%No 92%

world$50.00 today

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2026Yes 9%
June 30, 2026✓ No

world$38.24 today

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

December 31Yes 12%
September 30Yes 5%
January 31✓ No

world2 open · $35.00 today

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Yes 18%No 82%

world$26.16 today

Ukraine election called by...?

December 31, 2026Yes 18%
August 31, 2026Yes 7%
June 30, 2026✓ No

world2 open · $25.32 today

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

Yes 17%No 84%

world$24.40 today

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

December 31Yes 40%
September 30Yes 19%
June 30✓ No

world$23.58 today

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

December 31Yes 13%
June 30✓ No

world$22.84 today

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

December 31Yes 9%
June 30✓ No

world$22.22 today

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

Yes 4%No 97%

world$20.63 today

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Yes 17%No 84%

world$14.71 today

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?

December 31Yes 35%
April 30✓ No
May 31✓ No

world1 open · $11.59 today

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Yes 9%No 92%

world$10.73 today

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Yes 3%No 97%

world$10.28 today

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

January 31✓ No
March 31✓ No

world$9.69 today

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Yes 9%No 92%

world$5.00 today

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?

December 31Yes 34%
March 31✓ No
April 30✓ No

world1 open · $5.00 today

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

1600.00–1699.99Yes 39%
<1600.00Yes 28%
1700.00–1799.99Yes 12%

world6 open · $0.00 today

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Yes 88%No 13%

world$0.00 today

Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?

December 31Yes 45%
July 31Yes 18%
May 31✓ No

world2 open · $0.00 today

World

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by...?

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Quebec General Election Winner

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Bank of Israel Decision in September?

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will Russia capture Toretske by...?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

Will Russia enter Svitle by...?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by July 31?

How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?

Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Ukraine election called by...?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?