Politics

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

• July 31Yes 8%
• June 7✓ No
• June 30✓ No

US military action against Cuba by...?

• December 31Yes 33%
• January 31✓ No
• March 31✓ No

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

• Magdalena AnderssonYes 81%
• Ulf KristerssonYes 16%
• Jimmie ÅkessonYes 2%

Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?

• No next Foreign Secretary in 2026Yes 43%
• Wes StreetingYes 34%
• David MilibandYes 25%

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

• ASYes 34%
• LPVYes 34%
• PROYes 15%

Who will Trump speak to in July?

• Mohammed bin SalmanYes 98%
• Friedrich MerzYes 94%
• Mark CarneyYes 85%

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

• Bev CraigYes 94%
• Sian AstleyYes 2%
• Geraldine CogginsYes 1%

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

• LikudYes 46%
• YasharYes 44%
• TogetherYes 11%

How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

• 6Yes 37%
• 7Yes 23%
• 8Yes 22%

Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?

• December 31Yes 5%
• June 30✓ No

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

closed — the world moved on

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

• Delcy RodríguezYes 91%
• María Corina MachadoYes 4%
• No Head of StateYes 4%

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

• Javier MileiYes 50%
• Axel KicillofYes 42%
• Dante GebelYes 4%

AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner

• Elizabeth LeeYes 90%
• Chris JamesYes 9%
• Brian HualdeYes 2%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

• Jean-Luc MélenchonYes 96%
• Nathalie ArthaudYes 89%
• Marine Le PenYes 88%

FL-17 House Election Winner

• Republican PartyYes 92%
• Democratic PartyYes 10%

France United Left Primary Winner

• CanceledYes 76%
• Marine TondelierYes 14%
• François RuffinYes 6%

MD-08 House Election Winner

• Democratic PartyYes 97%
• Republican PartyYes 2%

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 10 - July 17, 2026?

• 140-159Yes 42%
• 60-79Yes 34%
• 160-179Yes 32%

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by...?

• July 31Yes 77%
• June 30✓ No

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner

• Mark LambYes 83%
• Daniel KeenanYes 17%
• Travis GranthamYes 0%

NC-06 House Election Winner

• Republican PartyYes 82%
• Democratic PartyYes 16%

Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?

• September 30Yes 100%
• July 31Yes 98%
• July 19Yes 3%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

• Flávio BolsonaroYes 79%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaYes 10%
• Renan SantosYes 9%

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

• Tarcísio de FreitasYes 92%
• Fernando HaddadYes 4%
• Kim KataguiriYes 0%

Which bills will become law in 2026?

• Housing for the 21st Century ActYes 100%
• DEFIANCE ActYes 41%
• AI-chip export licensingYes 40%

Maine Senate Election Winner

• DemocratYes 64%
• RepublicanYes 37%

Next Senate Majority Leader?

• John ThuneYes 44%
• Chuck SchumerYes 30%
• Brian SchatzYes 7%

Who will Trump meet with in July?

• Joseph AounYes 87%
• Benjamin NetanyahuYes 32%
• Giorgia MeloniYes 24%

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

• Marine Le PenYes 93%
• Jordan BardellaYes 4%
• Multiple CandidatesYes 0%

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 7 - July 14, 2026?

• 120-139Yes 34%
• 140-159Yes 24%
• 160-179Yes 13%

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

• 340–354Yes 31%
• 325–339Yes 31%
• 310–324Yes 19%

Pernambuco Governor Election Winner

• Raquel LyraYes 58%
• João CamposYes 37%
• Ivan MoraesYes 2%

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

• Bola TinubuYes 61%
• Peter ObiYes 38%
• Rotimi AmaechiYes 1%

TX-23 House Election Winner

• Republican PartyYes 67%
• Democratic PartyYes 32%

Ted Cruz # posts July 7 - July 14, 2026?

• 140-159Yes 41%
• 120-139Yes 35%
• 160-179Yes 18%

FL-23 House Election Winner

• Democratic PartyYes 93%
• Republican PartyYes 8%

2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Assembly By-Election Winner

• Tayte WillowsYes 42%
• Robert MitchellYes 35%
• Caley McDonaldYes 18%

MO-05 House Election Winner

• Republican PartyYes 82%
• Democratic PartyYes 15%

How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

• 2Yes 87%
• 3Yes 13%
• 4+Yes 2%

Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner By-Election Winner

• Colin SuttonYes 84%
• Matthew TaylorYes 13%
• Beth JonesYes 3%

Who will be arrested before 2027?

• John BrennanYes 36%
• Letitia JamesYes 22%
• Mahmoud KhalilYes 21%

NV-01 House Election Winner

• Democratic PartyYes 87%
• Republican PartyYes 13%

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

• Gavin NewsomYes 18%
• Kamala HarrisYes 16%
• Pete ButtigiegYes 14%

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

• Oprah WinfreyYes 16%
• Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 9%
• Zohran MamdaniYes 7%

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

• Dan ScavinoYes 52%
• Kash PatelYes 49%
• David SacksYes 42%

OH-12 House Election Winner

• Republican PartyYes 93%
• Democratic PartyYes 8%

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

• December 31Yes 16%
• July 31Yes 0%
• January 31✓ No

FL-08 House Election Winner

• Republican PartyYes 87%
• Democratic PartyYes 14%

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

• Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Yes 97%
• Sweden Democrats (SD)Yes 2%
• Moderate Party (M)Yes 0%

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

• Kuomintang (KMT)Yes 85%
• Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)Yes 12%
• Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)Yes 1%