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Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Yes
66%
No
35%
tech
$192.52 today
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX
94%
OpenAI
6%
tech
$189.50 today
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?
<3
Yes
49%
3
Yes
21%
4
Yes
18%
tech
4 open ·
$145.00 today
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Yes
96%
No
4%
tech
$133.15 today
Other · 11
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US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
Yes
22%
No
79%
tech
$127.30 today
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-19
Yes
28%
24-27
Yes
27%
20-23
Yes
18%
tech
7 open ·
$120.00 today
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
Yes
30%
No
71%
tech
$119.80 today
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Yes
64%
No
36%
tech
$114.25 today
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
Yes
15%
No
86%
tech
$112.93 today
Grok 5 released by...?
December 31
Yes
78%
August 31
Yes
42%
August 15
Yes
28%
tech
$112.22 today
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?
75%
Yes
98%
80%
Yes
68%
85%
Yes
45%
tech
4 open ·
$103.75 today
GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?
↑ $2.75
Yes
55%
↑ $3.00
Yes
51%
↓ $2.25
Yes
11%
tech
6 open ·
$100.00 today
FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?
Yes
97%
No
3%
tech
$83.74 today
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?
↑ $6.50
Yes
89%
↓ $5.50
Yes
89%
↓ $5.00
Yes
72%
tech
9 open ·
$82.00 today
What will ConAgra Brands say during their next earnings call?
Fiscal
Yes
96%
Volume
Yes
96%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Yes
61%
tech
19 open ·
$78.97 today
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
Yes
4%
No
96%
tech
$77.65 today
Will Claude go down on __ days in July?
6-8
Yes
54%
9-11
Yes
22%
3-5
Yes
14%
tech
4 open ·
$77.44 today
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Yes
11%
No
89%
tech
$68.00 today
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Yes
9%
No
91%
tech
$58.33 today
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
Yes
12%
No
89%
tech
$55.00 today
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Yes
87%
No
13%
tech
$49.04 today
GPU rental prices (H200) Up or Down in July?
Up
61%
Down
40%
tech
$40.00 today
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Yes
9%
No
91%
tech
$35.45 today
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Yes
51%
No
50%
tech
$31.15 today
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Yes
4%
No
96%
tech
$29.42 today
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes
65%
No
36%
tech
$26.55 today
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes
8%
No
93%
tech
$21.11 today
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tampa, FL
Yes
96%
San Diego, CA
Yes
92%
Denver, CO
Yes
86%
tech
21 open ·
$15.54 today
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
None in 2026
Yes
79%
Anthropic
Yes
12%
Google
Yes
6%
tech
9 open ·
$15.00 today
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
Yes
8%
No
92%
tech
$14.28 today
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Yes
15%
No
85%
tech
$13.02 today
GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price
$60+
Yes
97%
$70+
Yes
97%
$80+
Yes
7%
tech
$11.29 today
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?
Yes
4%
No
96%
tech
$10.39 today
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Yes
12%
No
88%
tech
$8.08 today
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028
Yes
61%
75B–100B
Yes
8%
100B+
Yes
6%
tech
8 open ·
$7.00 today
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
December 31
Yes
12%
June 30
✓ No
tech
$0.00 today
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Yes
6%
No
94%
tech
$0.00 today
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
Yes
8%
No
93%
tech
$0.00 today
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Yes
7%
No
94%
tech
$0.00 today
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
July 31
Yes
2%
June 30
✓ No
tech
$0.00 today
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Yes
7%
No
93%
tech
$0.00 today
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Yes
4%
No
96%
tech
$0.00 today
Human moon landing in 2026?
Yes
3%
No
97%
tech
$0.00 today
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+
Yes
94%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
Yes
4%
400–600B
Yes
1%
tech
7 open ·
$0.00 today
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Yes
58%
No
42%
tech
$0.00 today
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Yes
11%
No
89%
tech
$0.00 today
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
Up
82%
Down
18%
tech
$0.00 today
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
Yes
6%
No
94%
tech
$0.00 today
AWS service disrupted by...?
July 31
Yes
25%
June 30
✓ No
tech
$0.00 today
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Yes
80%
No
20%
tech
$0.00 today
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?
Yes
23%
No
78%
tech
$0.00 today
Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026?
Mint
Yes
62%
Cucumber
Yes
54%
Fruit Medley
Yes
51%
tech
5 open ·
$0.00 today
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs
Yes
71%
Morgan Stanley
Yes
14%
UBS
Yes
4%
tech
9 open ·
$0.00 today
Critical Discord Incident by...?
July 31
Yes
26%
June 30
✓ No
tech
$0.00 today
Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
Yes
18%
No
83%
tech
$0.00 today
What caused the Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion?
Propellant Leak
Yes
49%
Ground Support Equipment Failure
Yes
43%
Engine Failure
Yes
40%
tech
7 open ·
$0.00 today
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
Yes
12%
No
88%
tech
$0.00 today
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
Yes
11%
No
89%
tech
$0.00 today
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by...?
Yes
13%
No
88%
tech
$0.00 today
Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?
Yes
8%
No
92%
tech
$0.00 today
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