
đ The story so far â August 31
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This market will resolve to âYesâ if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as âResolvedâ by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to âNoâ. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this marketâs timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this marketâs resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as âResolved,â and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incidentâs impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this marketâs timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.
$16.7k predicted all-time · $174.91 today · ends Aug 31, 2026