politicslive

AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner

🏁 The race

Amish Shah61%

Yes 61%No 40%

Candidate B50%

closed

Other50%

closed

Candidate A50%

closed

Candidate C50%

closed

Marlene Galán-Woods29%

Yes 29%No 72%

Jonathan Treble17%

Yes 17%No 83%

Rick McCartney2%

Yes 2%No 98%

📈 The story so far — Amish Shah

61%

this happensit doesn't

📜 How this resolves▾

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.

$809.22 predicted all-time · $54.75 today · ends Jul 21, 2026