politicslive

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

🏁 The race

Thomas Chalifoux73%

Yes 73%No 28%

Justin Story5%

Yes 5%No 95%

Marcus Carter5%

Yes 5%No 95%

Howard Steven Rance4%

Yes 4%No 96%

Jorge Malavet3%

Yes 3%No 97%

📈 The story so far — Thomas Chalifoux

73%

this happensit doesn't

📜 How this resolves▾

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.

$21.3k predicted all-time · $24.00 today · ends Aug 18, 2026