politicslive

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

🏁 The race

$39 trillion100%

✓ happened

$40 trillion91%

Yes 91%No 9%

$41 trillion43%

Yes 43%No 57%

$42 trillion10%

Yes 10%No 90%

📈 The story so far — $40 trillion

91%

this happensit doesn't

📜 How this resolves▾

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Outcomes are resolved by Polymarket (UMA oracle). Papermarket mirrors the official resolution.

$11.3k predicted all-time · $5.00 today · ends Dec 31, 2026