Papermarket
🧭Markets
Sign inGet $10k Paper
Papermarket — paper trading only. No real money, ever. Market data via Polymarket.

📈 The Grand Catalog

Business

live

473 questions live · 234 already decided

🗂️ All realms₿ Crypto🏟️ Sports🌎 Politics📈 Business⛅ Weather🗺️ World🤖 Tech🎭 Culture🎬 Entertainment🔬 Science
+1 more realms
Other · 11

Fed Decision in July?

  • No changeYes 78%
  • 25 bps increaseYes 22%
  • 25 bps decreaseYes 1%
business5 open · $929k today

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?

  • ↑ $80Yes 30%
  • ↓ $65Yes 29%
  • ↑ $85Yes 14%
business19 open · $230k today

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Yes 24%No 77%
business$118k today
When⏰ Today📅 Upcoming🏁 FinishedSort🔥 Hottest⏳ Ending soon🌱 Newest

Fed Decision in September?

  • No changeYes 57%
  • 25 bps increaseYes 39%
  • 25 bps decreaseYes 4%
business5 open · $103k today

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

  • 0 (0 bps)Yes 78%
  • 1 (25 bps)Yes 16%
  • 2 (50 bps)Yes 4%
business13 open · $85.9k today

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

  • No changeYes 99%
  • 50+ bps increaseYes 1%
  • 25 bps increaseYes 0%
business5 open · $63.7k today

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

  • Pause–Pause–PauseYes 76%
  • OtherYes 23%
  • Pause–Pause–CutYes 0%
business3 open · $47.8k today

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?

  • 30+Yes 97%
  • 40+Yes 71%
  • 50+Yes 24%
business6 open · $42.9k today

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

Yes 1%No 99%
business$36.5k today

Fed rate hike by...?

  • October MeetingYes 47%
  • September MeetingYes 44%
  • July MeetingYes 20%
business3 open · $34.7k today

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Yes 39%No 62%
business$33.8k today

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

  • ↑$1.25TYes 92%
  • ↑$1.5TYes 78%
  • ↑$1.75TYes 66%
business11 open · $33.2k today

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in July 2026?

  • ↑ $760Yes 79%
  • ↑ $770Yes 42%
  • ↓ $730Yes 40%
business12 open · $26.7k today

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 6?

  • <150Yes 60%
  • 150-174Yes 32%
  • 175-199Yes 3%
business5 open · $26.2k today

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in July 2026?

  • ↑ $216Yes 76%
  • ↑ $224Yes 47%
  • ↑ $232Yes 24%
business11 open · $24.6k today

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

  • ↑$900BYes 73%
  • ↑$1.0TYes 52%
  • ↓$800BYes 42%
business15 open · $17.8k today

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

  • Pause–Pause–PauseYes 55%
  • OtherYes 46%
  • Pause–Pause–CutYes 0%
business5 open · $16.4k today

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in July 2026?

  • ↑ $4,300Yes 39%
  • ↓ $3,900Yes 29%
  • ↑ $4,400Yes 18%
business11 open · $14.4k today

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

  • SpaceXYes 88%
  • AnthropicYes 13%
  • OpenAIYes 1%
business12 open · $14.0k today

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 54%No 47%
business$13.6k today

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor?

  • 85%-86%Yes 34%
  • 84%-85%Yes 24%
  • 86%+Yes 23%
business5 open · $12.0k today

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

  • 20-40Yes 62%
  • 0-20Yes 26%
  • 40-60Yes 12%
business5 open · $11.5k today

IPOs before 2027?

  • AnthropicYes 72%
  • SHEINYes 60%
  • DiscordYes 40%
business29 open · $11.2k today

Crude Oil all time high by...?

  • December 31Yes 12%
  • September 30Yes 6%
  • May 31✓ No
business2 open · $10.8k today

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

  • No changeYes 98%
  • 25 bps IncreaseYes 2%
  • 25 bps decreaseYes 0%
business5 open · $9.3k today

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

  • No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026Yes 36%
  • NovemberYes 18%
  • AugustYes 14%
business7 open · $9.1k today

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in July 2026?

  • ↓ $2.80Yes 45%
  • ↑ $3.40Yes 13%
  • ↓ $2.60Yes 13%
business12 open · $8.5k today

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

  • 25 bps decreaseYes 88%
  • No ChangeYes 9%
  • 50+ bps decreaseYes 1%
business5 open · $7.4k today

June Inflation US - Annual

  • 3.8%Yes 49%
  • 3.7%Yes 31%
  • 3.9%Yes 19%
business12 open · $7.1k today

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in July 2026?

  • ↑ $64Yes 50%
  • ↓ $56Yes 46%
  • ↑ $66Yes 31%
business11 open · $6.9k today

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

  • OtherYes 48%
  • Pause–Pause–PauseYes 46%
  • Pause–Pause–CutYes 6%
business9 open · $6.4k today

Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

  • Ed MilibandYes 61%
  • Yvette CooperYes 8%
  • Pat McFaddenYes 7%
business10 open · $6.0k today

Bank of Korea decision in July?

  • IncreaseYes 90%
  • No ChangeYes 12%
  • DecreaseYes 0%
business$5.7k today

Bank of Russia decision in July?

  • No ChangeYes 69%
  • DecreaseYes 28%
  • IncreaseYes 3%
business$5.6k today

Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?

  • ↓$10BYes 76%
  • ↑$12.5BYes 69%
  • ↓$9BYes 46%
business9 open · $5.3k today

Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

  • ↓$40BYes 82%
  • ↑$42.5BYes 79%
  • ↑$45BYes 63%
business10 open · $5.3k today

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 13%No 88%
business$5.1k today

Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by December 31?

  • ↑$110BYes 89%
  • ↑$125BYes 54%
  • ↑$150BYes 30%
business8 open · $5.1k today

Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

  • ↑$50BYes 63%
  • ↓$35BYes 50%
  • ↑$75BYes 45%
business7 open · $5.0k today

Core CPI MoM - July 2026

  • 0.2%Yes 38%
  • 0.1%Yes 25%
  • 0.4%Yes 19%
business7 open · $4.8k today

Danaher (DHR) Q2 non-GAAP core revenue growth __?

  • 1.5%-3%Yes 38%
  • 3%-4.5%Yes 26%
  • 0%-1.5%Yes 17%
business5 open · $4.5k today

Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?

  • ↓$550BYes 59%
  • ↑$700BYes 34%
  • ↑$650BYes 30%
business11 open · $4.4k today

June Inflation US - Monthly

  • ≤0.1%Yes 98%
  • 0.2%Yes 1%
  • 0.5%Yes 0%
business9 open · $4.4k today

Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by July 31?

  • ↑$47.5BYes 45%
  • ↑$50BYes 40%
  • ↓$42.5BYes 36%
business9 open · $4.3k today

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Yes 83%No 17%
business7 open · $4.3k today

Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP)?

  • 2%-4%Yes 37%
  • 4%+Yes 30%
  • 0%-2%Yes 18%
business5 open · $4.1k today

Fed rate cut by...?

  • January Meeting✓ No
  • June Meeting✓ No
  • March Meeting✓ No
business4 open · $4.0k today

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

  • 4.6-4.9%Yes 69%
  • 4.3-4.6%Yes 28%
  • 4.9-5.2%Yes 3%
business9 open · $3.8k today

Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by July 31?

  • ↓$10BYes 58%
  • ↑$11.5BYes 46%
  • ↑$11BYes 35%
business10 open · $3.6k today

What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?

  • $419K - $426KYes 42%
  • <$419KYes 36%
  • $433K - $440KYes 11%
business7 open · $3.5k today

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in July 2026?

  • ↓ $70Yes 66%
  • ↑ $80Yes 42%
  • ↓ $65Yes 28%
business13 open · $3.5k today

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

  • ↑ 4.25%Yes 22%
  • ↓ 3.25%Yes 17%
  • ↑ 4.5%Yes 8%
business20 open · $3.3k today

What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit in July 2026?

  • ↑ $5.50Yes 52%
  • ↓ $4.00Yes 39%
  • ↑ $6.00Yes 27%
business12 open · $2.9k today

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

  • 1-2%Yes 74%
  • 0-1%Yes 11%
  • <0Yes 10%
business7 open · $2.9k today

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

  • $2.7BYes 96%
  • $2.55BYes 91%
  • $2.85BYes 66%
business5 open · $2.8k today

Will Revolut's valuation hit __ by December 31?

  • ↑$90BYes 90%
  • ↑$100BYes 57%
  • ↑$110BYes 46%
business11 open · $2.7k today

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

  • $2.1BYes 94%
  • $2.35BYes 89%
  • $2.6BYes 78%
business5 open · $2.7k today

July Unemployment Rate

  • 4.2%Yes 34%
  • 4.3%Yes 31%
  • 4.4%Yes 16%
business9 open · $2.7k today

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

  • ↑ $6,000Yes 10%
  • ↑ $7,000Yes 6%
  • ↑ $8,000Yes 5%
business6 open · $2.5k today

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

  • $170 billionYes 99%
  • $190 billionYes 92%
  • $180 billionYes 91%
business6 open · $2.4k today

1–60 of 473

12…8Next →