Politics

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

• Starmer - UK PMYes 98%
• Petro - Colombia PresidentYes 1%
• Abbas - President of PalestineYes 0%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

closed — the world moved on

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• J.D. VanceYes 41%
• Marco RubioYes 26%
• Tucker CarlsonYes 3%

Brazil Presidential Election

• Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaYes 61%
• Flávio BolsonaroYes 23%
• Renan SantosYes 11%

Clacton by-election Winner

• Nigel FarageYes 92%
• Count BinfaceYes 7%
• Jovan Owusu-NepaulYes 0%

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

• June 30, 2027Yes 52%
• December 31Yes 21%
• September 30Yes 15%

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

• United Russia (ER)Yes 54%
• New People (NL)Yes 41%
• Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)Yes 4%

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

• Andy BurnhamYes 99%
• Nigel FarageYes 0%
• Angela RaynerYes 0%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

• December 31Yes 8%
• September 30Yes 4%
• June 30✓ No

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

• July 31Yes 91%
• July 27Yes 91%
• July 28Yes 91%

Trump out as President by July 31?

closed — the world moved on

Iran leadership change by...?

• June 30, 2027Yes 28%
• December 31Yes 21%
• September 30Yes 12%

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

• Nicolás MaduroYes 79%
• Delcy RodríguezYes 14%
• María Corina MachadoYes 4%

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats SweepYes 44%
• R Senate, D HouseYes 41%
• Republicans SweepYes 14%

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

• December 31Yes 12%
• September 30Yes 7%
• May 31✓ No

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

• Troy JacksonYes 71%
• Shenna BellowsYes 22%
• Nirav ShahYes 5%

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

• June 30, 2027Yes 17%
• December 31, 2026Yes 9%
• September 30, 2026Yes 4%

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi EizenkotYes 37%
• Benjamin NetanyahuYes 37%
• Naftali BennettYes 11%

Kash Patel out by...?

• December 31Yes 56%
• July 31Yes 11%
• March 31✓ No

JD Vance out as VP by...?

• December 31Yes 7%
• July 31Yes 1%
• June 15✓ No

US military action against Cuba by...?

• December 31Yes 31%
• January 31✓ No
• March 31✓ No

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

• December 31Yes 14%
• October 31Yes 9%
• August 31Yes 4%

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

• United Russia (ER)Yes 96%
• New People (NL)Yes 3%
• A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)Yes 1%

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by...?

• July 31Yes 83%
• June 30✓ No

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

• Flávio BolsonaroYes 80%
• Renan SantosYes 9%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaYes 9%

Maduro Prison Time?

• 60+Yes 34%
• No prison timeYes 32%
• 20–40Yes 19%

White House # posts July 14 - July 21, 2026?

• 180-199Yes 36%
• 200+Yes 28%
• 160-179Yes 18%

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

• 325–339Yes 32%
• 340–354Yes 27%
• 310–324Yes 14%

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Republican PartyYes 55%
• Democratic PartyYes 46%

Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %

• Farage 70–80%Yes 35%
• Farage 60–70%Yes 23%
• Farage 80%+Yes 17%

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

• Eduardo PaesYes 90%
• Douglas RuasYes 5%
• Anthony GarotinhoYes 1%

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

• Abdul El-SayedYes 79%
• Haley StevensYes 21%
• Sarah AnthonyYes 0%

Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory

• Farage 60%+Yes 49%
• Farage 40-60%Yes 33%
• Farage 20-40%Yes 7%

How many World Cup matches will Trump attend?

• 1Yes 93%
• 0Yes 7%
• 2Yes 1%

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic PartyYes 84%
• Republican PartyYes 17%

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

• Delcy RodríguezYes 93%
• María Corina MachadoYes 5%
• No Head of StateYes 2%

Next UK Culture Secretary in 2026?

• No next Culture Secretary in 2026Yes 12%
• Wes StreetingYes 5%
• Louise HaighYes 5%

Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %

• Binface 10–20%Yes 39%
• Binface <10%Yes 25%
• Binface 20–30%Yes 19%

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

• DopropilliaYes 52%
• DruzkhivkaYes 23%
• SlovianskYes 22%

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

• UNRWAYes 11%
• Volodymyr ZelenskyyYes 8%
• Yulia NavalnayaYes 8%

Netanyahu out by...?

• December 31Yes 37%
• July 31Yes 1%
• April 30✓ No