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Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Starmer - UK PMYes 99%
Putin - Russia PresidentYes 0%
Abbas - President of PalestineYes 0%

politics24 open · $3.4m today

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD VanceYes 20%
Marco RubioYes 14%
Gavin NewsomYes 12%

politics37 open · $925k today

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

United Russia (ER)Yes 96%
New People (NL)Yes 3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Yes 1%

politics7 open · $925k today

Other · 11

When⏰ Today 📅 Upcoming 🏁 FinishedSort🔥 Hottest ⏳ Ending soon 🌱 Newest

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin NewsomYes 19%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 14%
Jon OssoffYes 10%

politics45 open · $879k today

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 8%No 93%

politics$598k today

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. VanceYes 41%
Marco RubioYes 26%
Tucker CarlsonYes 3%

politics35 open · $449k today

Clacton by-election Winner

Nigel FarageYes 91%
Count BinfaceYes 7%
Jovan Owusu-NepaulYes 0%

politics8 open · $267k today

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31Yes 8%
September 30Yes 4%
May 31✓ No

politics2 open · $238k today

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaYes 61%
Flávio BolsonaroYes 22%
Renan SantosYes 11%

politics17 open · $199k today

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)Yes 55%
New People (NL)Yes 40%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)Yes 3%

politics7 open · $196k today

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

June 30, 2027Yes 56%
December 31Yes 22%
September 30Yes 13%

politics4 open · $181k today

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

Troy JacksonYes 70%
Shenna BellowsYes 25%
Nirav ShahYes 2%

politics12 open · $129k today

Trump out as President by July 31?

closed — the world moved on

politics$99.9k today

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027Yes 26%
December 31Yes 17%
September 30Yes 9%

politics4 open · $94.2k today

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 66%No 35%

politics$88.9k today

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 16%No 85%

politics$87.6k today

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás MaduroYes 78%
Delcy RodríguezYes 14%
María Corina MachadoYes 4%

politics16 open · $81.8k today

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi EizenkotYes 40%
Benjamin NetanyahuYes 38%
Naftali BennettYes 11%

politics18 open · $53.5k today

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31Yes 14%
October 31Yes 9%
August 31Yes 4%

politics4 open · $42.6k today

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic PartyYes 84%
Republican PartyYes 16%

politics2 open · $38.8k today

2026 Johor General Election Winner

🔥 Ending today · 20h left

BNYes 95%
PHYes 5%
PNYes 0%

politics3 open · $38.1k today

Will any country leave NATO by...?

December 31, 2026Yes 4%
December 31, 2025✓ No
June 30, 2026✓ No

politics$37.2k today

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Yes 49%No 52%

politics$36.1k today

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 8%No 93%

politics$33.3k today

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027Yes 19%
December 31, 2026Yes 9%
September 30, 2026Yes 4%

politics5 open · $32.9k today

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Yes 94%No 7%

politics$32.4k today

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31Yes 42%
October 31Yes 27%
August 31Yes 12%

politics3 open · $31.5k today

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 4%No 96%

politics$28.2k today

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Yes 5%No 95%

politics$24.9k today

Kash Patel out by...?

December 31Yes 55%
July 31Yes 9%
May 31✓ No

politics2 open · $23.5k today

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

UNRWAYes 11%
Volodymyr ZelenskyyYes 8%
Yulia NavalnayaYes 8%

politics20 open · $22.6k today

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Andy BurnhamYes 99%
Nigel FarageYes 0%
No Next PM in 2026Yes 0%

politics22 open · $20.8k today

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 46%No 54%

politics$20.4k today

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

SomalilandYes 15%
QatarYes 10%
AzerbaijanYes 9%

politics12 open · $18.1k today

White House # posts July 7 - July 14, 2026?

200+Yes 82%
180-199Yes 18%
160-179Yes 1%

politics5 open · $16.4k today

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

July 28Yes 94%
July 17Yes 93%
July 31Yes 93%

politics24 open · $16.2k today

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

2Yes 95%
>4Yes 0%
3Yes 0%

politics6 open · $14.7k today

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 31Yes 24%
October 31Yes 13%
June 30✓ No

politics2 open · $14.0k today

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 4%No 96%

politics$14.0k today

Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %

Binface 10–20%Yes 36%
Binface <10%Yes 25%
Binface 20–30%Yes 17%

politics5 open · $13.1k today

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats SweepYes 45%
R Senate, D HouseYes 41%
Republicans SweepYes 14%

politics5 open · $12.9k today

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison timeYes 32%
60+Yes 29%
20–40Yes 21%

politics5 open · $12.0k today

Texas Senate Election Winner

Ken Paxton (R)Yes 56%
James Talarico (D)Yes 45%

politics2 open · $11.7k today

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

Yes 2%No 98%

politics$11.5k today

Clacton by-election: 2nd place

Count BinfaceYes 70%
Nigel FarageYes 8%
Andrew PembertonYes 3%

politics8 open · $11.1k today

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier BecerraYes 93%
Steve HiltonYes 7%
Leo ZackyYes 0%

politics23 open · $11.0k today

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le PenYes 79%
Édouard PhilippeYes 42%
Jean-Luc MélenchonYes 32%

politics36 open · $10.8k today

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31Yes 38%
July 31Yes 1%
June 30✓ No

politics2 open · $10.5k today

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Yes 7%No 94%

politics$10.0k today

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jay FeelyYes 89%
Joseph ChaplikYes 12%
Matt GressYes 0%

politics13 open · $9.9k today

Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory

Farage 60%+Yes 45%
Farage 40-60%Yes 36%
Farage <20%Yes 11%

politics6 open · $9.8k today

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

DopropilliaYes 52%
SlovianskYes 24%
DruzkhivkaYes 23%

politics8 open · $9.0k today

Maine Governor Election Winner

DemocratYes 89%
RepublicanYes 7%

politics2 open · $8.9k today

VA-05 Democratic Primary Winner

Tom PerrielloYes 95%
Robert TracinskiYes 1%
Suzanne KrzyzanowskiYes 1%

politics3 open · $8.8k today

White House # posts July 10 - July 17, 2026?

200+Yes 35%
160-179Yes 26%
180-199Yes 25%

politics10 open · $8.7k today

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Byron DonaldsYes 96%
James FishbackYes 3%
Jay CollinsYes 1%

politics7 open · $8.6k today

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Yes 35%No 66%

politics$8.5k today

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican PartyYes 54%
Democratic PartyYes 46%

politics2 open · $7.4k today

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Yes 12%No 89%

politics$7.3k today

How many World Cup matches will Trump attend?

1Yes 94%
0Yes 6%
2Yes 2%

politics4 open · $6.9k today