Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

• JD VanceYes 20%
• Marco RubioYes 14%
• Gavin NewsomYes 12%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

• Gavin NewsomYes 19%
• Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 14%
• Jon OssoffYes 10%

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• J.D. VanceYes 41%
• Marco RubioYes 25%
• Tucker CarlsonYes 3%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

closed — the world moved on

Clacton by-election Winner

• Nigel FarageYes 92%
• Count BinfaceYes 7%
• Jovan Owusu-NepaulYes 0%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

• December 31Yes 8%
• September 30Yes 4%
• June 30✓ No

Brazil Presidential Election

• Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaYes 61%
• Flávio BolsonaroYes 22%
• Renan SantosYes 12%

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

• United Russia (ER)Yes 55%
• New People (NL)Yes 40%
• Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)Yes 3%

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

• June 30, 2027Yes 56%
• December 31Yes 22%
• September 30Yes 13%

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

• Troy JacksonYes 72%
• Shenna BellowsYes 25%
• Nirav ShahYes 2%

Israel closes its airspace by...?

• August 31Yes 21%
• July 31Yes 11%
• July 15Yes 4%

Trump out as President by July 31?

closed — the world moved on

Iran leadership change by...?

• June 30, 2027Yes 26%
• December 31Yes 17%
• September 30Yes 9%

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

• Nicolás MaduroYes 78%
• Delcy RodríguezYes 14%
• María Corina MachadoYes 4%

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi EizenkotYes 40%
• Benjamin NetanyahuYes 38%
• Naftali BennettYes 11%

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

• December 31Yes 14%
• October 31Yes 9%
• August 31Yes 4%

2026 Johor General Election Winner

• BNYes 95%
• PHYes 5%
• PNYes 0%

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic PartyYes 84%
• Republican PartyYes 17%

Will any country leave NATO by...?

• December 31, 2026Yes 4%
• December 31, 2025✓ No
• June 30, 2026✓ No

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

• June 30, 2027Yes 19%
• December 31, 2026Yes 9%
• September 30, 2026Yes 4%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

• December 31Yes 42%
• October 31Yes 27%
• August 31Yes 12%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

• December 31Yes 20%
• May 31✓ No
• June 30✓ No

Kash Patel out by...?

• December 31Yes 53%
• July 31Yes 8%
• May 31✓ No

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

• UNRWAYes 11%
• Volodymyr ZelenskyyYes 8%
• Yulia NavalnayaYes 8%

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

• Andy BurnhamYes 99%
• Nigel FarageYes 0%
• No Next PM in 2026Yes 0%

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

• SomalilandYes 15%
• QatarYes 10%
• AzerbaijanYes 9%

White House # posts July 7 - July 14, 2026?

• 200+Yes 84%
• 180-199Yes 17%
• 160-179Yes 1%

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

• July 28Yes 94%
• July 17Yes 93%
• July 31Yes 93%

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

• 2Yes 95%
• >4Yes 0%
• 3Yes 0%

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

• December 31Yes 24%
• October 31Yes 13%
• June 30✓ No

Maduro Prison Time?

• No prison timeYes 32%
• 60+Yes 29%
• 20–40Yes 21%

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

• December 31Yes 11%
• June 30✓ No
• May 31✓ No

Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %

• Binface 10–20%Yes 37%
• Binface <10%Yes 25%
• Binface 20–30%Yes 17%

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

• December 31Yes 12%
• September 30Yes 7%
• August 31Yes 3%

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats SweepYes 45%
• R Senate, D HouseYes 41%
• Republicans SweepYes 14%

Texas Senate Election Winner

• Ken Paxton (R)Yes 55%
• James Talarico (D)Yes 45%

California Governor Election Winner

• Xavier BecerraYes 93%
• Steve HiltonYes 7%
• Leo ZackyYes 0%

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

• Marine Le PenYes 79%
• Édouard PhilippeYes 41%
• Jean-Luc MélenchonYes 32%

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

• December 31, 2026Yes 9%
• June 30, 2026✓ No
• Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?✓ No

Netanyahu out by...?

• December 31Yes 38%
• July 31Yes 1%
• May 31✓ No

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

• Jay FeelyYes 89%
• Joseph ChaplikYes 12%
• Matt GressYes 0%

Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory

• Farage 60%+Yes 45%
• Farage 40-60%Yes 36%
• Farage <20%Yes 11%

Clacton by-election: 2nd place

• Count BinfaceYes 70%
• Nigel FarageYes 8%
• Andrew PembertonYes 3%