Every question in the world

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

• Starmer - UK PMYes 99%
• Putin - Russia PresidentYes 0%
• Abbas - President of PalestineYes 0%

MLB: Home Runs Leader

• Kyle SchwarberYes 48%
• Yordan AlvarezYes 19%
• Junior CamineroYes 19%

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

• Kylian MbappéYes 43%
• Lionel MessiYes 31%
• Erling HaalandYes 9%

F1 Drivers' Champion

• Kimi AntonelliYes 58%
• George RussellYes 21%
• Lewis HamiltonYes 14%

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

• Cleveland CavaliersYes 42%
• Miami HeatYes 24%
• Golden State WarriorsYes 15%

Fed Decision in July?

• No changeYes 78%
• 25 bps increaseYes 22%
• 25 bps decreaseYes 1%

Presidential Election Winner 2028

• JD VanceYes 20%
• Marco RubioYes 14%
• Gavin NewsomYes 12%

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

• United Russia (ER)Yes 96%
• New People (NL)Yes 3%
• Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)Yes 1%

MSI 2026: Winner

• Bilibili GamingYes 56%
• Hanwha Life EsportsYes 42%
• Other (incl. Lyon)Yes 3%

Iran leader end of 2026?

• Mojtaba KhameneiYes 83%
• Reza PahlaviYes 5%
• No Head of StateYes 3%

Next French Presidential Election

• Marine Le PenYes 27%
• Édouard PhilippeYes 27%
• Jean-Luc MélenchonYes 12%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

• Gavin NewsomYes 19%
• Alexandria Ocasio-CortezYes 14%
• Jon OssoffYes 10%

MSI 2026 Winning Region

• LPL (China)Yes 56%
• LCK (South Korea)Yes 43%
• LCS (North America)Yes 2%

Bitcoin above ___ on July 11?

• 58,000Yes 100%
• 60,000Yes 100%
• 56,000Yes 100%

2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner

• Jannik SinnerYes 81%
• Alexander ZverevYes 18%
• Arthur Fery✓ No

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

• ↑ 65,000Yes 86%
• ↓ 62,500Yes 77%
• ↑ 67,500Yes 52%

Largest Company end of July?

• NVIDIAYes 93%
• AppleYes 6%
• AlphabetYes 2%

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

• Kylian MbappeYes 44%
• Lionel MessiYes 37%
• Erling HaalandYes 12%

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

• July 31Yes 54%
• July 17Yes 19%
• July 10Yes 0%

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

• FranceYes 59%
• SpainYes 42%
• ArgentinaYes 41%

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• J.D. VanceYes 41%
• Marco RubioYes 26%
• Tucker CarlsonYes 3%

Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?

• 220-239Yes 24%
• 240-259Yes 24%
• 260-279Yes 16%

Iran full airspace closure by...?

• August 31Yes 25%
• July 31Yes 18%
• July 15Yes 9%

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

• December 31Yes 42%
• August 31Yes 32%
• July 31Yes 22%

F1 Constructors' Champion

• MercedesYes 86%
• FerrariYes 12%
• McLarenYes 1%

Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?

• 1450+Yes 99%
• 1460+Yes 4%
• 1470+Yes 1%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

closed — the world moved on

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

• August 15Yes 22%
• July 31Yes 14%
• July 24Yes 10%

Clacton by-election Winner

• Nigel FarageYes 91%
• Count BinfaceYes 7%
• Jovan Owusu-NepaulYes 0%

Which company has best AI model end of July?

• AnthropicYes 93%
• GoogleYes 6%
• OpenAIYes 1%

Elon Musk # tweets July 9 - July 11, 2026?

• 65-89Yes 74%
• 40-64Yes 21%
• 90-114Yes 4%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

• December 31Yes 8%
• September 30Yes 4%
• March 31✓ No

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?

• ↑ $80Yes 30%
• ↓ $65Yes 29%
• ↑ $85Yes 14%

Brazil Presidential Election

• Luiz Inácio Lula da SilvaYes 61%
• Flávio BolsonaroYes 22%
• Renan SantosYes 11%

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

• December 31Yes 38%
• September 30Yes 19%
• August 31Yes 13%

Bitcoin above ___ on July 12?

• 52,000Yes 100%
• 54,000Yes 100%
• 56,000Yes 100%

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

• United Russia (ER)Yes 55%
• New People (NL)Yes 40%
• Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)Yes 3%

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

• June 30, 2027Yes 56%
• December 31Yes 22%
• September 30Yes 13%

What price will Bitcoin hit on July 10?

• ↑ 65,000Yes 0%
• ↑ 66,000Yes 0%
• ↑ 67,000Yes 0%

World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

• ArgentinaYes 76%
• EnglandYes 66%
• NorwayYes 36%

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

• December 31Yes 38%
• September 30Yes 20%
• August 31Yes 12%

What price will Bitcoin hit July 6-12?

• ↑ 66,000Yes 6%
• ↑ 68,000Yes 1%
• ↓ 60,000Yes 1%